India and the Great Game
By Kosla Vepa PhD
The term Great Game popularized by
Rudyard Kipling in his famous novel Kim, has its origin in the astonishing
conquests of Temujin, the Mongol warrior more
popularly known as Genghiz Khan. This child of the steppe
, was so effective in subjugating the duchies of Eastern Europe after
laying waste many of the cities of Central Asia,
that he was called the ‘Scourge of God’. At its peak, the Mongol Horde and the
successor Khanates controlled not only Central Asia , China , Persia,
most of what is now Russia,
but had crossed the major rivers of Eastern Europe.
It was not until the 15th century, almost 2 centuries after the
advent of Temujin that the Muscovites were able to
stand up to the successors of the Golden Horde. The small but insignificant Muscovite
Duchy eventually laid the foundation for the Great Game and conquered most of Asia. Russia,
the name for the land of the Rus, expanded eastward
and southward in successive waves, waves so powerful that in the ‘course of
four centuries, the Czarist empire grew at the
remarkable average of fifty five square miles a day’
Thus was born the name Great Game as it
was called by the British and as the Tournament of Shadows by the Russians. It
was a deadly serious game starting from the late 1700’s just about the time the
British had consolidated their hold on India. The main players in the game were Czarist
Russia and Britain.
What is interesting by today’s standards and notions is that it was Czarist Russia which was
expansionist and the Soviet Union, its
successor which eventually dismantled a substantial portion of this empire in
1991. There were many subsidiary players including Napoleon, the Turks, the
Germans, the Iranians, the Japanese, the Central Asian Khanates and last but
not least the Chinese.
Is it a coincidence that the Great Game
started at about the same time as the consolidation of British power in
the Indian subcontinent. Not really. Britain was the pre-eminent power
during that period. It’s navy was unmatched and it
ruled the sea lanes of the world. Yet as Victorian scholar J. R. Seeley
observes “Every movement in Turkey,
every new symptom in Egypt,
any stirrings in Persia or Transoxania or Burmah or Afghanistan, we
are obliged to watch with vigilance. The reason is that we
have possession of India,
and a leading interest in all those countries which lie upon the route to India.
This and only this involves us in the permanent rivalry with Russia, which is for England
in the nineteenth century what the competition with France
for the New World was for the eighteenth
century. It is very clear , the raison d’etre of the Great Game, was India.
Thus began a series of clandestine
‘explorations’ to exotic places such as Khiva, Merv, Bokhara, Samarkhand,
Tashkent, Kashgar, Khokand,
Herat, Kandahar, Chitral, Leh,
by intrepid adventurers from both England and Russia. These adventures are
chronicled in great detail by Peter Hopkirk in ‘The
Great Game’ and in ‘Tournament of Shadows’ by Karl Meyer and Shareen Brysac. The point to make however is that the purpose of
the Great Game was from the point of view of Britain to keep control of India,
the Jewel in the Crown of the British Empire and on the part of Russia it was
to wrest control of the heartland of Asia to challenge the British control over
the oceans and of India.
After the advent of WW II and the
consequent break up of the British Empire,
there was a change in the nature of the Great Game. The great Game essentially
morphed into a Cold War. Now there was an ideological underpinning to what was a
merely a land grab by Britain
and Russia.
Mackinder’s hypothesis was that whoever possessed the landmasses would
dominate. It was now possible to cloak the suspicion of Russian imperial
ambitions and the resulting massive land grab , in an
ideological garb, as a fight against Communism. India’s
compulsions in having to find a steady and reliable supplier of weapons, gave
one more excuse for the US/UK alliance to wrest Kashmir from India.
But we are getting ahead of ourselves.
Documents newly released indicate that Lord Wavell, then Viceroy of India had
concluded in 1945 that a Congress Party government in Delhi would not support
Britain in its endeavors to counter a Soviet thrust downwards towards the
oilfields of the Gulf, and it would therefore be prudent on the part of Britain to concede
his demand for Pakistan, in the hope that a loyal Muslim League would keep
watch on behalf of Britain on the strategic northwest abutting Iran and
Afghanistan. Mountbatten had as much as told the Maharaja of Kashmir on June ,1947 that Delhi
would have no objection if he acceded his state to Pakistan. In fact it was never the
intention of Britain that
Kashmir fall into India’s
hands.
Finally we come to the latest version
of the Great Game or as GG3 as some have dubbed it. First let us review the
background to the GG3 as it is currently being played. Second we will review
the principles under which GG3 operates. The situation changed radically with the
collapse of the Soviet Union. The reasons why
this happened is not the subject of this column at
this time, but the consequences of the collapse of the Soviet
union were indeed far reaching. Several countries became
independent overnight as a result. Among them were the Central Asian republics Kazakhstan, Kyrghyzstan, Uzbekistan,
Tadjikistan,
Turkmenistan,
where much of the drama of the Great game in the nineteenth century was played
out. Countries that were a blur in people’s consciousness and could barely be pronounced , suddenly leapt into prominence. What was of
interest to the West and to India
was that, while these countries had Islamic populations in varying degrees,
their world view was colored by their long association with the Soviet Central
State and prior to that with Russia. Most
importantly many of these countries especially those bordering the Caspian Sea had extensive energy resources of oil and
natural gas, without at the same time having the burden of supporting the needs
of a large population. The paramount question was how to transport these
resources to the countries that needed this energy.
Other issues including religion will
continue to play a major role in the region for many more decades. That Afghanistan is particularly crucial as it was
during the days of the Great Game is obvious even today ,
in spite of the failed attempt of Pakistan to play a major role in
dominating this region. Afghanistan
continues to be the hub of American operations to control the spread of
international terrorism.
GG3 revolves therefore around
theocracy, resources, drugs, terrorism, trade and territory. The countries
vitally interested in these issues and in the region are the US, Russia,
China, Iran, India
and Pakistan.
From India’s standpoint
recent events have generally tended to favor the long term strategic interest
of India.
India’s relations with Afghanistan are
being restored to a level that approaches the friendly relations during the
immediate years after 1947. Each of the above factors forms a compelling reason
for India to take a keen
interest in developing a healthy and mutually beneficial relationship with the Central Asian Republics.
Srinagar can
form the hub of an expanding trade relationship with the region.
The US
has now a toehold in more than one country in the region and hence Kashmir
loses the importance that it once had during the days when most of central Asia was controlled by the Soviets. Diminished interest
on the part of the US does
not mean complete neglect of the region however, and it is safe to say that the
US motives in Kashmir are driven by more than mere altruism. Even the
British are shedding their long held post WW II aversion and allergy to a
strong and economically prosperous India.
Thus, while it is a reasonable premise to make that Kashmir
is no longer central to the interests of the US/UK alliance, it is obvious that
Central Asia remains as important as ever to India as it was to the British
during their Imperial era. This realization has definitely taken concrete shape
in Delhi , as one sees a steadily increasing presence of India in these
republics.
© Kosla Vepa